Program Czyste Powietrze vs realia rynku – dywagacje na temat sytuacji rynkowej 2019/2020

Po pierwszym spotkaniu forum wykonawcow Caparol czy tam Rady Wykonawcow – zwal jak zwal troche otworzyly mi sie oczy dotyczace wprowadzonego niedawno programu „Czyste Powietrze” i oddzialywania tego programu na branze.

Wydaje mi sie, ze niechcacy ten program wywroci sytuacje na rynku, oto dlaczego, o czym nie do konca sie mówi i jakie mogą być tego konsekwecje.

Spójrzmy RALNIE na rynek w Polsce z punktu widzenia „Kowalskiego” który chce wykonać docieplenie budynku:

pozornie duża liczba wykonawców, i teoretycznie niby nie ma problemu ze znalezieniem wykonawcy, w sensie ludzi do wykonania danej pracy. Jednak problem pojawia się w momencie kiedy klient chce fakturę, bo co się wtedy okazuje:

  • „ja ze śwagrem” stawka jest niska ale nie wystawiają faktury, klient kupuje sobie towar na paragon lub fakturę imienną dla siebie
  • wykonawca: stawka jest trochę wyższa, ale firma jest ryczałtowcem i nie jest płatnikiem VAT, w związku z powyższym nie ma możliwości zafakturowania towar+usługa , a najczęściej koszt takiej elewacji wychodzi w proporcjach 50/50
  • firma wykonująca jest płatnikiem VAT i fakturuje całość stosując 8% stawki VAT ale cena robocizny jest dość wysoka

No i realnie tak wygląda sytuacja na rynku, nikt nie jest w stanie ocenić wielkości i proporcji jak procentowo się rozkłada ilość poszczególnych jednostek w rynku, tu można jedynie snuć przypuszczenia. No i z własnych obserwacji jedynie można coś założyć. Moje założenia są następujące i „czuję gdzieś w kościach” że tak bliskie prawdy:
60% / 40% to „ja ze swagrem” vs firma
Idąc dalej:
70% / 30% to ryczaltowiec nie bedący płatnikiem VA vs firma będąca płatnikiem VAT.

No i co to oznacza w liczbach dla programu „Czyste powietrze”, do realizacji potrzebna jest faktura na wykonanie usługi wraz z materiałem. A zatem:
100 wykonawcow, zostaje 40 bo Ci moga wystawić za swoje prace jakikolwiek dokument który można pokazać (Rachunek, Faktura Vat) . z tych 40 tylko 30% jest w stanie wystawić FV na 8% wykonanie wraz z materiałem. czyli ze 100 na poczatku zostaje 12 firm.

No i teraz… jeżeli ktoś już złożył wniosek – zegar wystartował. 2 lata, a potencjalny rynek wykonawczy, ktory jest w stanie to zrobic wlaśnie zmniejszył się prawie 10-cio krotnie. Oznacza to wg mnie jedno: Mnóstwo osób, które już złożyły wniosek praktycznie nie są w stanie wykonać tych prac w założonym terminie, ze względu na brak firm wykonawczych spełniających kryteria.

3 910 myśli do „Program Czyste Powietrze vs realia rynku – dywagacje na temat sytuacji rynkowej 2019/2020”

  1. W kwietniu polecałeś Sika Igasol 101, czy pojawiło się coś nowego , lepszego i ekonomicznego w zakresie izolacji przeciw wodnej??

    1. tytułem wyjaśnienia, starałem się kontaktować za pośrednictwem skrzynki na forum muratora, ale chyba coś nie działa, pozdrawiam serdecznie

      1. tak mam na forum:
        W elewacje już umiem, w styropiany też. A teraz przyszedł czas na brykiet kominkowy
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